I’m going to be on holiday when the Oscars happen this year, so won’t be able to watch them live or likely produce a write-up until several days after they occur, so here are my thoughts (in italics) and predictions (in bold) for this year. I haven’t bothered with the short film categories as I’ve hardly seen any of them.
12 Years A Slave
Dallas Buyers Club
The Wolf Of Wall Street
This has looked to be 12 Years a Slave’s award ever since it’s festival premier, and although Gravity and American Hustle have some buzz, I’m going to stick with 12 years here. From the nominees, I’d personally prefer Gravity to win, but won’t mind if 12 Years a Slave does, American Hustle certainly doesn’t deserve it though.
Steve McQueen – 12 Years A Slave
David O. Russell – American Hustle
Alfonso Cuarón – Gravity
Alexander Payne – Nebraska
Martin Scorsese – The Wolf Of Wall Street
As much as it would be great for Scorsese to pick up a second Oscar, Cuarón’s ground-breaking work on Gravity deserves this, and I think he’s going to win it.
Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell – American Hustle
Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine
Bob Nelson – Nebraska
Craig Borten, Melisa Wallack – Dallas Buyers Club
Spike Jonze – Her
This is a tougher one to call, it could go to Her (which likely won’t win anything else), but I reckon American Hustle’s going to pick up the screenplay win if it doesn’t get best picture. I’d vote for Her.
John Ridley – 12 Years A Slave
Billy Ray – Captain Phillips
Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope – Philomena
Terence Winter – The Wolf Of Wall Street
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, Richard Linklater – Before Midnight
I’d love to see Before Midnight get some Oscar recognition but it’s highly unlikely. The Wolf Of Wall Street would be a worthy winner here too but it’ll probably be another one for 12 Years a Slave.
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Christian Bale – American Hustle
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
This was an exceptionally strong field this year, with Oscar Isaac, Robert Redford, Forest Whitaker, Idris Elba and Tom Hanks all potential nominees who missed out. I’m still quite shocked that Hanks didn’t get in there, I’d have probably favoured him for the win if he did. Bruce Dern’s the one I would have removed. It’s still strange to think the Matthew McConaughey’s an Oscar frontrunner now, but his career transformation has been hugely impressive, and I think he’ll take this. I wouldn’t mind if Ejiofor or DiCaprio won either.
Amy Adams – American Hustle
Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
Judi Dench – Philomena
Sandra Bullock – Gravity
This is a much less interesting field this year, all of them are previous winners except Amy Adams, who stands a chance, and I’d like to see win, but Blanchett’s been the favourite for months on end. Meryl Streep’s nod here is one of many obligatory ones she’s had, there was nothing about August Osage County that deserved Oscar attention.
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill – The Wolf Of Wall Street
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
To me, it’s even more surprising than his co-star McConaughey being an Oscar nominee that Jared Leto is up there. He did give a good performance, but I would give this to Fassbender, who’s been doing consistently great work for the few years while Leto was trying to be a rock star. Also, what would someone in think 5 years ago if you told them Bradley Cooper and Jonah Hill would both be double Oscar nominees by 2014?
Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine
June Squibb – Nebraska
This is a tricky one, having just seen 12 Years a Slave I certainly hope Lupita Nyong’o wins but the world’s most overrated actress Jennifer Lawrence has picking up a few awards recently. It’ll be pretty absurd if she wins this, but it’s plausible. Also, why on earth is Julia Roberts there?
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
The Wind Rises
A very poor year for animated films, the middling Frozen’s almost guaranteed to win, there are a great many films from the past few years’ unsuccessful nominees that are much better than it.
Philomena – Alexandre Desplat
The Book Thief – John Williams
Gravity – Steven Price
Saving Mr. Banks – Thomas Newman
Her – William Butler, Owen Pallett
I really hope Steven Price takes this one, his Gravity score was outstanding. It’s a shame Man of Steel didn’t get a nod though.
‘Happy’ – Despicable Me 2
‘Let It Go’ – Frozen
‘The Moon Song’ – Her
‘Ordinary Love’ – Mandela: The Long Walk To Freedom
I first heard ‘Let it Go’ when I saw Frozen, it’s replayed in the credits but those are the only two times I listened to the song of my own intent. In the weeks since I’ve heard it enough times to never want to hear it again. This is the ceremony’s most worthless category anyway, it’s best to try and ignore it.
The Grandmaster – Philippe Le Sourd
Gravity – Emmanuel Lubezki
Inside Llewyn Davis – Bruno Delbonnel
Nebraska – Phedon Papamichael
Prisoners – Roger Deakins
Sadly the only appearance of Prisoners, as much as I liked it, and Deakins is long-due some Oscar love, this should definitely go to Lubezki.
American Hustle – Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, Alan Baumgarten
12 Years A Slave – Joe Walker
Captain Phillips – Christopher Rouse
Dallas Buyers Club – John Mac McMurphy, Martin Pensa
Gravity – Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger
This one often goes hand-in-hand with best picture, it wouldn’t surprise me if 12 Years wins but I think Gravity’s got a better chance here.
12 Years A Slave – Adam Stockhausen, Alice Baker
American Hustle – Judy Becker, Heather Loeffler
Her – K.K. Barrett, Gene Serdena
Gravity – Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin, Joanne Woodlard
The Great Gatsby – Catherine Martin, Beverley Dunn
It’s interesting that Gastby barely has a showing at all in the Oscars, even though it’s a mediocre film, if it had come out in December I think it would be showing up far more. This is the only chance it has to win, though Hustle could just as easily take this.
American Hustle – Michael Wilkinson
The Great Gatsby – Catherine Martin
The Invisible Woman – Michael O’Connor
The Grandmaster – William Chang Suk Ping
12 Years A Slave – Patricia Norris
This’ll be between Hustle and Gatsby
MAKE-UP & HAIRSTYLING
Dallas Buyers Club – Adruitha Lee, Robin Mathews
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa – Stephen Prouty
The Lone Ranger – Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua-Casny
Yeah, I don’t think anyone’s voting for a Jackass movie, odd that American Hustle didn’t get in here.
All Is Lost – Richard Hymns, Steve Boeddeker
Captain Phillips – Oliver Tarney
Gravity – Glenn Freemantle
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Brent Burge
Lone Survivor – Wylie Stateman
I think Gravity’s going to clean up the technical categories.
Captain Phillips – Chris Burdon, Mark Taylor, Mike Prestwood Smith, Chris Munro
Gravity – Skip Lievsay, Christopher Benstead, Niv Adiri, Chris Munro
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug – Christopher Boyes, Michael Hedges, Michael Semanick, Tony Johnson
Inside Llewyn Davis – Skip Lievsay, Greg orloff, Peter F. Kurland
Lone Survivor – Andy Koyama, Beau Borders, David Brownlow
Gravity – Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk, Neil Corbould, Nikki Penny
The Hobbit: The Desolation Of Smaug – Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, Eric Reynolds
Iron Man 3 – Bryan Grill, Christopher Townsend, Guy Williams, Dan Sudick
Star Trek Into Darkness – Ben Grossmann, Burt Dalton, Patrick Tubach, Roger Guyett
The Lone Ranger – Tim Alexander, Gary Brozenich, Edson Williams, John Frazier
This one seems to be a no-brainer.
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Broken Circle Breakdown – Belgium
The Great Beauty – Italy
The Hunt – Denmark
The Missing Picture – Cambodia
Omar – Palestine
The Great Beauty seems to have the lead here; personally I hope The Hunt wins
The Act Of Killing
Cutie And The Boxer
20 Feet From Stardom
The Act of Killing is certainly the ‘important’ film going up against the ‘feel-good’ 20 Feet from Stardom, Killing should win from this group but I can easily see more people voting for the harmless film. It’s a shame Blackfish wasn’t nominated.